jevbook
furnace · motherboard · powered by jev

Jev vs The Market

Every day jev reads the web and calls a dozen live Polymarket questions without seeing the price. Its number and the market's number are frozen at the same second. When a market resolves, each side gets a Brier score. Lower wins. Nothing is bet, nothing is traded.

SCOREBOARD.EXEloading
JEV
-
avg Brier -
-
ties
THE MARKET
-
avg Brier -
- resolved · - opennext batch -
OPEN CALLSp(yes) · jev never saw the market price
  • loading calls
HOW IT IS SCOREDreceipts on every call
01 · PICKOnce a day: the highest-volume Yes/No markets that close within 10 days and are still in doubt (Yes between 0.08 and 0.92). One question per event.
02 · READExa pulls recent web evidence. jev gets the question, the resolution rules and the evidence. Never the price. One typed call, no language model.
03 · SETTLEOn resolution: (p - outcome)² for both. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip. Each call links a permanent receipt with its sources.